“I’m sixty-eight and I don’t have time to mess around. Moore insists he’s not simply being provocative in predicting a Democrat landslide. “Deep down in your soul, as you watched what your eyes could not believe was happening, admit to me that in that appalling moment on January 6, 2021, you were – how do I say it – jealous that it was the fascists who had risen up, and not us long before now,” he wrote. Last year he wrote that Democrats have “insurrectionist envy” of the January 6 Capitol riot. He comes from Michigan with its strong connections to anti-government movements – Moore went to the same high school as Oklahoma bombing co-conspirator Terry Nichols. Moore likes to go off in a different direction. “I have a high-school education so probably, maybe, you shouldn’t be getting your news from me, if you’d just been paying attention in the last six months to Kansas, Idaho and Alaska you’d have seen the red flags going up,” he says. In each case, Moore says, conventional thinking was challenged. “If I’d told you at the same time that in the congressional election in Alaska, a hard red state, that it’s not only going to be won by a Democrat but a Native Alaskan Democrat, again you’d have to question if I was out of my mind.”įinally, he draws attention to Boise, Idaho, where an incumbent Republican candidate for the board of education was endorsed by a far-right group, the Idaho Liberty Dogs, and lost to an 18-year-old high school senior and progressive activist, Shiva Rajbhandari, who was also co-founder of the Boise chapter of the climate group Extinction Rebellion. “If I said to you six months ago, ‘you know Kansas, right? It’s a huge pro-abortion state and this summer by a margin of 60% they’re going to keep abortion legal’ you’d think I had made a crazy statement,” he says. He points to three recent examples where political norms were wrongly interpreted. Reached by telephone last week, Moore, 68, said that his purpose, in effect, is to puncture herd-thinking. And by thinking of ourselves this way, if you’re not careful, you begin to manifest the old narrative into existence.” You start believing that we liberals are a bunch of losers. “The effect of this kind of reporting can be jarring – it can get inside the average American’s head and scramble it,” Moore wrote. In missive #21 (Don’t Believe It) on Tuesday, he addressed the issue of political fatalism, specifically the media narrative that the party in power necessarily does poorly in midterm elections. The thrust of his reasoning that this will be “Roe-vember” is amplified daily in the emails. Republicans, meanwhile, are laser-focused on high inflation rates, economic troubles and fears over crime.īut political forecasting has become Moore’s business since he correctly called that Donald Trump would win the national elections in 2016, against common judgment of the media and pollsters businesses. Making predictions is a risky undertaking in any election cycle, but especially in this round, with Democrats banking they can hitch Republican candidates to an unpopular supreme court decision to overturn federal guarantees of a woman’s right to abortion.
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